The answer depends on several factors. It is true that this is a simplistic example, but we will describe the concept in more detail later. Although it may seem to make sense, and actually sometimes works, it presents a great deal of risk. The price has to go up after the averaging is done. How many times have we acquired a stock that started to go down, invested more money after it went down, and continued to put more and more money in with the hope that the price will go up?

Eventually, the point comes when we surrender and throw in the towel, shortly before the stock starts to recover. This is a very common scenario and it causes the ruin of many traders. Although averaging downwards offers the appearance of a strategy, it is more a state of mind than a legitimate investment strategy.

While there may be an unrecognized intrinsic value, buying additional shares simply to reduce the average investment cost is not a good reason to buy a share or other asset in the market as its price drops.

Averaging down allows investors to reduce their cost base in a given market position, which can work well if the market starts to rise as it allows the operator to acquire more assets at a lower price and increase its future profits. However, if the market continues to fall, capital losses will only increase further. Proponents of this technique see averaging down as a cost-effective approach to wealth accumulation; opponents see it as a recipe for disaster. In leveraged products like Forex and CFD, this practice can lead to large losses in a short time.

The strategy is often favoured by investors who have a long-term investment horizon and a counter-investment approach, that is to say, contrary to market consensus. An opposite approach refers to an investment style that is against, or contrary to, the prevailing investment trend. What also gives the illusion that this technique is an investment strategy. However, investors like Buffet can buy additional shares of a company because they feel that the shares are undervalued, not because they want to «lower the average».

In addition, they have large capital resources that allow them to withstand a market downturn lasting months or years. Is that a great strategy or not? However, if the market continues to fall, we must make the decision to keep averaging down or close positions to limit losses. At this point, much depends on the analysis of the market in which we are operating. If we are applying averaging down to fight price stubbornly in a market whose fundamentals clearly indicate that it will continue to fall, it is simply a gamble and a sure recipe to disaster.

On the contrary, if we have conducted a thorough analysis of the market and this study tells us that there is a likelihood that the price will start to rise, the downward averaging may make sense as long as we apply it sensibly following monetary management rules. In any case, we must always have a limit of losses as the market can be unpredictable and it is always good to have a safety net.

To show the difference between applying averaging down without a solid foundation and using this strategy based on more logical analysis and methodology. If we are investing in an action, taking into account only the action of the price, we look for signs of purchase and sale based on a series of indicators.

The goal is to earn money in the short and medium-term and there is no real interest in the underlying company beyond how its action might be affected by the market, news, or economic changes.

When stocks fall to this point, positions are closed and new opportunities are expected. If you are buying stocks from a company as opposed to a share , the investor has carefully researched and knows what is happening within the company and its industry. You need to know if a drop in stock price is temporary or a sign of trouble.

If you really believe in the company, averaging down can make sense if you want to increase your holdings in the company. Accumulating more shares at a lower price makes sense if you plan to hold them for an extended period.

This is not a strategy that should be used lightly. If there is a large volume of sales against the company, the investor may want to ask if they know something he does not know. These investors, who are making massive sales, are almost certainly mutual funds and institutional investors.

Swimming upstream can sometimes be profitable, but it can also cause an account to be lost in a short time. Any market this strategy should be employed very carefully or avoided altogether if the trader does not know what it does, especially in leveraged markets like Forex or CFDs where profits and losses are magnified.

In fact, this is how many traders lose their accounts. Many traders, especially beginners, have the tendency to «fight» against the market and when it starts to move against, do not bother to investigate because the market behaves in this way and simply start to open up positions contrary to the trend. In a market like Forex, where trends can be very strong, these traders end up losing big sums in a short time. For example, a change in the interest rate policies of a major central bank such as the Fed or the BoE, are capable of shaking the market strongly and changing long-term trends.

A trader who stubbornly trades against these moves and continues to add positions is only committing suicide. Very different is when a trader adds more positions in a market whose fundamentals favor him and where the price is against him temporarily, more for technical factors than anything else.

For example, it may happen that a currency pair is in bullish trend and the trader bought during a bearish correction that spread more than expected. In this case, the trader can average, to a certain extent, since he knows that the price has high chances of going back up. As we see, much depends on how the trader applies the strategy. The following table shows which types of investors can apply the averaging, and how to reduce the risk in case the market continues to fall.

Here are some definitions of the main types of strategies. Buy and Hold: It is a strategy where a person or company invests in an asset, such as an action, often for years. Then the price experienced a decline which resulted in Mr. George having to buy another 0.

But then the price dropped again, then Mr. Until finally the price will rise and touch the first take profit 1. Position 1: Open position 1. Position 3: Open position 1.

Remarks: 0. After looking at the illustration above, then the question will arise whether using this strategy will always get profit? The answer is depending on how you use the forex trading averaging strategy. Because the success or failure of a strategy will depend on the state of the market and the skill of the trader who uses it. Usually, when using averaging strategies, some traders always use forex indicators, but some rely on bare hands.

Traders without an individual broker or trader will usually do this strategy if they are sure about the price. But if it turns out that the guess is a bit off, the trader must add his position continuously. Averaging strategies are often used by banks, so they only buy to get interested in swaps. Every day the bank will receive interest if there is a swap position, even though it has withheld enough minus value.

Averaging down is a strategy that is quite aggressive, because investors may have to spend money continuously, without knowing where the currency will decline.

So that investors must have discipline when making a purchase. This strategy is quite easy to follow if done only once or twice. But if prices continue to decline, investors will also be easily affected emotionally.

So he must decide whether to continue using this technique or not. But in general, conditions, when the currency market is sideways or bullish, averaging down strategies, can be quite effective.

Because of these conditions, asset prices have been limited. Tips when using averaging down, you should limit it to 3 times, after that you can stop doing it. If it turns out the price continues to fall, leave it alone. After arriving at the bottom point, you can do averaging up. The reason why you have to limit yourself is that sometimes someone will want to do averaging down continuously, even until the funds have been used up.

If indeed the funds that you have are unlimited, it is not a problem to use averaging down continuously. But if the funds are limited you should stop doing it.

Unlike previous techniques, averaging up is considered better because you just bought a currency when the price was low. So when the price goes down, you have to wait until you can buy at the lowest price. Often missed, so the price has already rebounded. Psychologically, it can be easier for investors to do averaging up than down.

So when the currency market decreases, you still have cash and no need to sell the existing currency. So you can wait for the right time to buy the lowest price. Pyramiding techniques are the opposite of cost-averaging. In cost-averaging , when 1 open position will be added if you experience a loss , so in this technique, an open position will be added every time you get profit or profit. Pyramiding techniques will be very effective when used in trending market conditions.

But it is not effective if used in sideways market conditions. The martingale technique is more extreme than average. In this technique, when getting a loss is not just a new position that must be added but must also double the number of transactions.

Strategi averaging trading forex yang mendatangkan profit berlipat ini bisa Anda pakai dalam sistem trading Anda. Trading forex dengan menggunakan strategi averaging atau disebut juga dengan cost-averaging merupakan usaha trading yang saat praktek dalam pasar hanya memiliki satu arah. Meskipun demikian, sangat memerlukan berulang kali open position untuk bisa mendapatkan profit. Maksudnya adalah, jika pada saat pertama kali masuk pasar Anda berada di posisi long atau buy, posisi selanjutnya juga akan sama yaitu buy only.

Begitu juga sebaliknya. Biarpun telah terjadi floating minus , tetap saja akan dalam posisi buy sampai menghasilkan profit. Tujuan dari strategi averaging adalah untuk bisa memperkecil tingkat kerugiaan saat berada dalam posisi yang berlawanan dengan arah trend dan juga untuk memaksimalkan tingkat keuntungan saat posisi satu arah dengan trend.

Sehingga strategi ini tidak dianjurkan bagi Anda yang masih memiliki dana minim. Berikut adalah contoh penerapan strategi averaging trading forex :. Kemudian harga mengalami penurunan yang mengakibatkan Tuan Herman harus buy 0.

Hingga akhirnya harga akan naik dan menyentuh take profit yang pertama 1. Posisi 3: Open position 1. Keterangan: 0. Setelah melihat ilustrasi diatas, lalu akan muncul pertanyaan apakah dengan menggunakan strategi ini akan selalu mendapatkan profit? Jawabannya adalah tergantung bagaimana Anda menggunakan strategi averaging trading forex tersebut. Karena berhasil atau tidaknya suatu strategi akan bergantung pada keadaan pasar dan kemahiran trader yang menggunakannya.

Biasanya saat menggunakan strategi averaging, para trader ada saja yang selalu menggunakan indikator forex, namun ada juga yang mengandalkan tangan kosong. Para trader tanpa broker atau trader individu biasanya akan melakukan strategi ini jika sudah yakin mengenai harga.

Namun jika ternyata tebakannya sedikit meleset, trader harus menambahkan posisinya terus menerus. Strategi averaging sering kali digunakan oleh bank, sehingga mereka hanya melakukan buy agar bisa memperoleh bunga dari swap.

Setiap harinya bank akan menerima bunga jika ada posisi swap , walaupun telah menahan nilai minus cukup banyak. Averaging down adalah strategi yang cukup agresif, karena bisa saja investor harus megeluarkan uang terus menerus, tanpa mengetahui sampai mana mata uang akan mangalami penurunan. Sehingga investor harus mempunyai disiplin saat melakukan pembelian. Sebenarnya, strategi ini cukup mudah diikuti jika dilakukan dalam satu atau dua kali saja. Namun jika harga terus mengalami penurunan, investor juga akan mudah terpengaruh secara emosi.

Sehingga dia harus memutuskan apakah akan meneruskan menggunakan teknik ini atau tidak. Tapi dalam kondisi umum saat pasar mata uang sedang sideways atau bullish, strategi averaging down bisa cukup efektif. Karena pada kondisi tersebut, harga aset turun dengan terbatas. Tips saat menggunakan averaging down, sebaiknya Anda membatasi sampai 3 kali saja, setelah itu Anda bisa berhenti melakukannya.

Jika ternyata harga terus turun, biarkan saja. Setelah sampai pada titik bottom , Anda bisa melakukan averaging up. Alasan kenapa harus membatasi diri, karena terkadang seseorang akan sangat ingin melakukan averaging down secara terus menerus, bahkan sampai dana yang dimilikinya habis.

Jika memang dana yang Anda miliki tidak terbatas, memang tidak masalah menggunakan averaging down terus menerus. Namun jika dana terbatas ada baiknya Anda berhenti melakukannya. Berbeda dengan teknik sebelumnya, averaging up justru dinilai lebih baik karena Anda baru membeli mata uang saat harganya rendah.

Sehingga saat harga turun, Anda harus menunggu sampai bisa membeli di harga paling rendah. Hanya saja masalahnya adalah bagaimana menentukan harga bottom. Kerap kali terlewatkan, sehingga harga sudah terlanjur rebound. Belum lagi ketika Anda salah memprediksi, saat Anda kira harga akan redound tetapi ternyata itu hanya tipuan sehingga nilai akan makin merosot.

Secara psikologis, bisa lebih mudah untuk investor melakukan averaging up dibandingkan down. Jadi ketika pasar mata uang mengalami penurunan, Anda masih memiliki cash dan tidak perlu lagi menjual mata uang yang ada. Sehingga Anda bisa menunggu waktu yang tepat untuk bisa membeli diharga terendah.

Terdapat 3 teknik yang dikembangkan oleh strategi averaging, diantaranya:. Teknik pyramiding merupakan kebalikan dari cost-averaging. Dalam cost-averaging , saat 1 posisi terbuka maka akan ditambah jika mengalami kerugian, sehingga dalam teknik ini posisi terbuka justru akan ditambahkan setiap mendapat profit atau keuntungan.

Teknik pyramiding akan sangat efektif saat digunakan dalam kondisi pasar yang trending. Namun tidak efektif jika digunakan dalam kondisi pasar yang sideways. Teknik martingale merupakan teknik yang lebih ekstrim dari averaging.

Pada teknik ini, saat mendapatkan kerugian bukan hanya posisi baru yang harus ditambahkan tapi juga harus melipat gandakan jumlah transaksi. Teknik ini merupakan kebalikan dari pyramiding. Jika pyramiding akan sangat buruk saat digunakan dalam kondisi pasar sideways, berbeda dengan martingale yang akan sangat baik dan efektif digunakan pada kondisi pasar sideways. Teknik anti martingale mirip dengan pyramiding, tetapi jumlah transaksinya akan selalu dilipat gandakan setiap ada profit atau keuntungan yang ditambahkan.

Tekni ini akan sangat efektif jika digunakan dalam kondisi pasar yang trending. Sedikit berbeda dengan martingale yang harus menggandakan modal saat rugi, pada anti martingale justru Anda harus membuka posisi baru dan mengandalkan modal saat sedang untung. Dengan begitu profit yang bisa dicapai akan semakin maksimal. Saat seorang trader sudah mendapatkan titik jenuh pasar, maka kondisi tersebut bisa menjadi waktu yang tepat untuk dimanfaatkan dengan menggunakan strategi averaging.

Tujuannya untuk bisa mendapatkan profit dengan jumlah cukup besar. Namun, setiap strategi tentu saja akan selalu memiliki kekurangan. Pada averaging kekurangannya adalah dari harganya yang sangat tidak bisa ditebak, sehingga akan banyak sentimen pasar yang dapat menggerakan harga. Oleh karena itu, ada baiknya Anda memperhatikan bagaimana kondisi pasar saat akan menggunakan strategi averaging. Selain daripada teknik ini, yang paling utama untuk sukses bertrading adalah utamakan manajemen resiko, karena manajemen resiko berguna untuk meminimalisir kerugian yang dalam.

Jadi gunakan pengaturan volume lot yang sesuai dengan profil resiko anda tersebut dalam menerapkan teknik ini. Itulah strategi averaging trading forex yang bisa Anda pelajari, selamat mencoba! Email : [email protected]. Forex, Gold, CFD adalah suatu metode perdagangan trading beresiko tinggi, yang mungkin tidak cocok untuk sebagian Investor ataupun bagi yang belum berpengalaman.

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November 23, For example, a change in the interest rate policies of a major central bank such as the Fed or the BoE, are capable of shaking the market strongly and changing long-term trends. Potensi Resiko Forex, Gold, CFD adalah suatu metode perdagangan trading beresiko tinggi, yang mungkin tidak cocok untuk sebagian Investor ataupun bagi yang belum berpengalaman. Therefore, you should pay attention to how the market conditions when using averaging strategy. After arriving at the bottom point, you can do averaging up.

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